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US Government Shutdown Looms: Polymarket Odds Skyrocket to 77% for January

Dario avatar
Shared by Dario • January 25, 2026

The likelihood of a US government shutdown before the end of January has surged dramatically, with prediction market Polymarket now pricing in a 77% chance. This represents a significant 67% increase in just 24 hours, signaling growing investor and observer concern over potential fiscal instability.